Dr. Kathleen Miller Climate Change & Water Resources

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Aber, J.; Neilson, R. P.; McNulty, Steve; Lenihan, J. M.; Bachelet, D., and Drapek, R. J. Forest. 2001. “Processes and global environmental change: predicting the effects of individual and multiple stressors,” BioScience. 51(9): 735-751.

Allen, M.R., and W. J. Ingram. 2002. “Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle,” Nature. 419: 224-232.

Arnell, N., et al. 1996. "Hydrology and Freshwater Ecology," in IPCC, 1996b, Climate Change 1995: Impacts, Adaptations and Mitigation of Climate Change: Scientific-Technical Analyses, Contribution of Working Group II to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

Arnell, N.W. 1999. “Climate Change and Global Water Resources,” Global Environmental Change. 9: S31-S49.

Beven, K. 2003. Rainfall-Runoff Modeling- The Primer. Wiley: Chichester, UK.

Boorman, D. and C. Sefton. 1997. “Recognizing the uncertainty in the quantification of the effects of climate change on hydrological response,” Climatic Change. 35 (4): 415-434.

Blasing, T.J. and S. Jones. 2003: Current Greenhouse Gas Concentrations, Carbon Dioxide Information and Analysis Center (CDIAC). http://cdiac.esd.ornl.gov/pns/current_ghg.html

Broecker, W.S. 1997. “Thermohaline circulation, the Achilles heel of our climate system: Will man-made CO2 upset the current balance?” Science. 278: 1582-1588.

Cayan, D.R., S. Kammerdiener, M.D. Dettinger, J.M. Caprio, and D.H. Peterson. 2001. “Changes in the onset of spring in the western United States,” Bulletin American Meteorological Society. 82: 399-415.

Changnon, S.A. and K.E. Kunkel. 1999. “Rapidly Expanding Uses of Climate Data and Information in Agriculture and Water Resources: Causes and Characteristics of New Applications,” Illinois State Water Survey, Champaign, Illinois.

Cohen, S.J. 1996. “Integrated regional assessment of global climatic change: lessons from the Mackenzie Basin Impact Study (MBIS),” Global and Planetary Change. 11 (4): 179-185.

Croley, T.E. II and C.L. Luukkonen. 2003. “Potential Effects of Climate Change on Ground Water in Lansing, Michigan,” Journal of the American Water Resources Association. 39(1): 149-163.

Dery, S.J. and M.K. Yau. 2001. “Simulation of blowing snow in the Canadian Arctic using a double-moment model,” Boundary-Layer Meteorology. 99: 297-316.

Dettinger, M. and D. Cayan. 1995: “Large-scale atmospheric forcing of recent trends toward early snowmelt in California,” Journal of Climate. 8: 606-623.

Duell, L. F. W. Jr., 1992. "Use of Regression Models to Estimate Effects of Climate Change on Seasonal Streamflow in the American and Carson River Basins, California-Nevada," in Managing Water Resources During Global Change, American Water Resources Association 28th Annual Conference Proceedings, AWRA, Bethesda, MD.

Duell, L.F.W. Jr. 1994. "The Sensitivity of northern Sierra Nevada streamflow to climate change,” Water Resources Bulletin. 30(5): 841-859.

Easterling, D. 1999. “Development of regional climate scenarios using a downscaling approach,” Climatic Change. 41(3): 615-634.

Flashcka, I. M., C. W. Stockton and W. R. Boggess. 1987. “Climatic Variation and Surface Water Resources in the Great Basin Region,” Water Resources Bulletin. 3(1): 47-57.

Frederick, K. 1993. "Adaptive Response to climate change: demand management," Proceedings of the First National Conference on Climate Change and Water Resources Management, Institute for Water Resources, Alexandra VA.

Fredrick, K. 1997. “Adapting to climate impacts on the supply and demand for water,” Climatic Change. 37: 141-156.

Gates, W. L., et al. 1996. "Climate Models - Evaluation," in IPCC, 1996a. Climate Change 1995 - The Science of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group I to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

Giorgi, Filippo and Linda O. Mearns. 1991. "Approaches to the simulation of regional climate change: a review," Reviews of Geophysics. 29(2): 191-216.

Georgakakos, K.P. 2003. “Probabilistic Climate-Model Diagnostics for Hydrologic and Water Resources Impact Studies,” Journal of Hydrometeorology. 4: 92-105.

Gleick, P.H. 2000a. “A Look at Twenty-first Century Water Resources Development,” Water International. 25(1): 127-138.

Gleick, P.H. 2000b. Water: The Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change for the Water Resources of the United States. The Report of the Water Sector Assessment Team of the National Assessment of the Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change, The Pacific Institute.

Grotch, S. L. and M. C. MacCracken. 1991. "The use of general circulation models to predict regional climatic change," Journal of Climate. 4: 286-303.

Hewitson, B.C. and Crane, R.G. 1996. “Climate downscaling: techniques and application,” Climate Research. 7: 85-95.

Hobbs, B.F. and P.T. Chao. 1997b. “Using Decision Analysis to Include Climate Change in Water Resources Decision Making,” Climatic Change. 37: 188-202.

Hughes, J. P., D. P. Lettenmaier and E. F. Wood. 1993. "An approach for assessing the sensitivity of floods to regional climate change," The World at Risk: Natural Hazards and Climate Change. American Institute of Physics Conference Proceedings 277, AIP, New York.

IGBP (International Geosphere Biosphere Program) 2001: Global Change and the Earth System: A Planet Under Pressure, IGBP Science No. 4. Steffen, W. and P. Tyson, (eds.). Stockholm, Sweden: IGBP.

IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change), WG I (Working Group I). 2001: Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the IPCC. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.

Katz, R. 1996. “Use of conditional stochastic models to generate climate change scenarios,” Climate Change. 32: 237–255.

Kiehl, J. and K. Trenberth. 1997. “Earth’s annual global mean energy budget,” Bulletin of the American Meteorology Society. 78: 197-208.

Kundzewicz, Z.W. and L. Somlyódy. 1997. “Climatic Change Impact on Water Resources in a Systems Perspective,” Water Resources Management. 11: 407–435

Lettenmaier, D. P. and T. Y. Gan. 1990. "Hydrologic Sensitivities of the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Basin, California, to Global Warming," Water Resources Research. 26(1): 69-86.

Lettenmaier, D.P. and D.P. Sheer. 1991. “Climate sensitivity of California water resources,” Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management. 117: 108-125.

Lettenmaier, D.P., A.W. Wood, R.N. Palmer, E.F. Wood and E.Z. Stakhiv. 1999. “Water Resources Implications of Global Warming: A U.S. Regional Perspective,” Climatic Change. 43: 537–579.

Mauser, W. and R. Ludwig. 2002. “GLOWA Danube: A research concept to develop integrative techniques, scenarios and strategies regarding global changes of the water cycle,” Climatic Change: Implications for the Hydrological Cycle and for Water Management. Advances in Global Change Research. 10: 171-188.

Mearns, L.O., I. Bogardi, F. Giorgi, I.Matyasovszky and M. Palecki. 1999. “Comparison of climate change scenarios generated from regional climate model experiments and statistical downscaling,” Journal of Geophysical Research. 104, 6603-6621.

Meko, D., M. Hughes and C. Stockton. 1991. "Climate Change and Climate Variability: The Paleo Record," in National Research Council, Managing Water Resources in the West Under Conditions of Climate Uncertainty. Proceedings of a Colloquium November 14-16, 1990, Scottsdale, AZ, National Academy Press, Washington, D.C.

Mimikou, M., Y. Kouvopoulos, G. Cavadias, and N. Vayianos. 1989. “Regional hydrological effects of climate change,” Journal of Hydrology. 123 (1-2): 119-146.

Mote, P.W., E.A. Parson, A.F. Hamlet, W.S. Keeton, D. Lettenmaier, N. Mantua, E.L. Miles, D.W. Peterson, D.L. Peterson, R. Slaughter, and A.K. Snover. 2003. “Preparing for Climatic Change: The Water, Salmon, and Forests of the Pacific Northwest,” Climatic Change. 61 (1-2): 45-88.

Nash, L. L. and P. H. Gleick. 1993. The Colorado River Basin and Climatic Change: The Sensitivity of Streamflow and Water Supply to Variations in Temperature and Precipitation. Report prepared for the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Policy, Planning and Evaluation - Climate Change Division, EPA 230-R-93-009, Pacific Institute for Studies in Development, Environment, and Security, Oakland, CA.

Neilson, R. and R. Drapek. 1998. “Potentially complex biosphere responses to transient global warming,” Global Change Biology. 4(5): 505-521. 1998.

Nemec J. and J. Schaake, 1982. "Sensitivity of Water Resource Systems to Climate Variation," Hydrological Sciences. 27(3): 327-343.

Pelto, Mauri S. 1993. "Changes in Water supply in alpine regions due to glacier retreat," The World at Risk: Natural Hazards and Climate Change, 61-67. American Institute of Physics Conference Proceedings 277, AIP, New York.

Pomeroy, J.W. and D.M. Gray. 1995. “Snowcover - accumulation, relocation and management.” National Hydrology Research Institute Science Report No. 7, Saskatoon, Canada. 144.

Robock, A., R.P. Turco, M.A. Harwell, T.P. Ackerman, R. Anderssen, H.S. Chang, and M. Sivakumar. 1993. “Use of general circulation model output in the creation of climate change scenarios for impact analysis,” Climatic Change. 23: 293-335.

Sailor, D.J. and X. Li. 1999a. “Tree-structured regression downscaling for regional climate change predictions of precipitation,” World Resource Review. 11: 64-75.

Sailor, D.J. and X. Li. 1999b. “A semi-empirical downscaling approach for predicting regional temperature impacts associated with climatic change,” Journal of Climate. 12: 103-114.

Schaake, J. C. 1990. "From Climate to Flow," in P. E. Waggoner, ed., Climate Change and U. S. Water Resources, Wiley, New York.

Semenov, M.A. 1997. “Use of a stochastic weather generator in the development of climate change scenarios,” Climatic Change. 35(4): 397-414.

Simonovic, S.P. and L. Lanhai. 2004. “Sensitivity of the Red River Basin Flood Protection System to Climate Variability and Change,” Water Resources Management. 18 ( 2): 89- 110.

Stewart, I., D.R. Cayan, and M.D. Dettinger. 2004. “Changes in snowmelt runoff timing Changes in snowmelt runoff timing in western North America under a ‘Business as Usual,” Climatic Change. 62: 217-232.

Subak, S. 2000. “Climate Change Adaptation in the U.K. Water Industry: Managers’ Perceptions of Past Variability and Future Scenarios,” Water Resources Management. 14: 137–156.

Trenberth, K.E., A. Dai, R.M. Rasmussen, DB. Parsons. 2003. “The Changing Character of Precipitation,” Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society: 84(9): 1205–1217.

Washington, W. 1996. "An Overview of Climate Modeling," in K. A. Miller and R. K. Parkin, eds., Final Report: An Institute on the Economics of the Climate Resource, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO.

Wigley, T.M.L. 2003. “Assigning Probabilities to Climate Change” talk presented at the Workshop on Scientific and Applied Perspectives on Climate and Weather Related Risks, NCAR, Boulder, CO, October 9, 2003.

Wilby, R.L., T.M.L. Wigley, D. Conway, P.D. Jones, B.C. Hewitson, J. Main and D.S. Wilks. 1998. “Statistical downscaling of general circulation model output: A comparison of methods,” Water Resources Res. 42: 2995-3008.

Wilks, D.S. 1992. “Adapting stochastic weather generation algorithms for climate change studies,” Climatic Change. 22: 67-84.

WMO (World Meteorological Organization). 2003: Climate: Into the 21st Century. Edited by William Burroughs, (ed.). Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.

Wood, A., D. Lettenmaier, and R. Palmer. 1997. “Assessing climate change implications for water resources planning,” Climatic Change, 37: 203-228.

Xiao, J.B. and P.A. Taylor. 2002. “On equilibrium profiles of suspended particles,” Boundary- Layer Meteorology. 105: 471-482.

Yates, D., S. Gangopadhyay, B. Rajagopalan, and K. Strzepek. 2003. “A technique for generating regional climate scenarios using a nearest-neighbor algorithm,” Water Resources. Res. 39: 7.