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# Richard (Rick) Katz's Home Page

## Recent Publications

**Gilleland, E., R.W. Katz, and P. Naveau,** 2017: "Quantifying the risk of extreme events under climate change." *Chance*, **30.4**, 30-36. [pdf file]

**Gilleland, E., and R.W. Katz,** 2016: "extRemes 2.0: An extreme value analysis package in R." *Journal of Statistical Software*, **72**, doi:10.18637/jss.v072.i08. [pdf file]

**Verdin, A., B. Rajagopalan, W. Kleiber, and R.W. Katz,** 2015: "Coupled stochastic weather generation using spatial and generalized linear models." * Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment*, **29**, 347-356. [pdf file]

**Cheng, L., A. AghaKouchak, E. Gilleland, and R.W. Katz,** 2014: "Non-stationary extreme value analysis in a changing climate." *Climatic Change*, **127**, 353-369. [pdf file]

**Tye, M.R., D.B. Stephenson, G.J. Holland, and R.W. Katz,** 2014: "A Weibull approach for improving climate model projections of tropical cyclone wind-speed distributions." *Journal of Climate*, **27**, 6119-6133. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., and R. Grotjahn** 2014: "Statistical methods for relating temperature extremes to Large-Scale Meteorological Patterns." *US CLIVAR Variations*, **12**, 4-7. [pdf file]

**Rootzen, H., and R.W. Katz,** 2013: "Design life level: Quantifying risk in a changing climate." * Water Resources Research*, **49**, doi:10.1002/wrcr.20425. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., P.F. Craigmile, P. Guttorp, M. Haran, B. Sanso, and M.L. Stein** 2013: "Uncertainty analysis in climate change assessments." *Nature Climate Change*, **3**, 769-771. [pdf file]

**Smith, A.B., and R.W. Katz,** 2013: "US billion-dollar weather and climate disasters: data sources, trends, accuracy and biases." *Natural Hazards*, **67**, 387-410. [pdf file]

**Kleiber, W., R.W. Katz, and B. Rajagopalan,** 2013: "Daily minimum and maximum temperature simulation over complex terrain." * Annals of Applied Statistics*, **7**, 588-612. [pdf file]

**Karl, T.R., and R.W. Katz,** 2012: "A new face for climate dice." *Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences*, **109**, 14720-14721. [pdf file]

**Kim, Y., R.W. Katz, B. Rajagopalan, G.P. Podesta, and E.M. Furrer,** 2012: "Reducing overdispersion in stochastic weather generators using a generalized linear modeling approach." *Climate Research*, **53**, 13-24. [pdf file]

**Kleiber, W., R.W. Katz, and B. Rajagopalan,** 2012: "Daily spatiotemporal precipitation simulation using latent and transformed Gaussian processes." * Water Resources Research*, **48**, W01523, doi:10.1029/2011WR011105. [pdf file]

**Sillmann, J., M. Croci-Maspoli, M. Kallache, and R.W. Katz,** 2011: "Extreme cold winter temperatures in Europe under the influence of North Atlantic atmospheric blocking." *Journal of Climate*, **24**, 5899-5913. [pdf file]

**Gilleland, E., and R.W. Katz,** 2011: "A new software to analyze how extremes change over time." *Eos*, **92**, 13-14. [pdf file]

**Towler, E., B. Rajagopalan, E. Gilleland, R.S. Summers, D. Yates, and R.W. Katz, ** 2010: "Modeling hydrologic and water quality extremes in a changing climate: A statistical approach based on extreme value theory." * Water Resources Research*, **46**, W11504, doi:10.1029/2009WR008876. [pdf file]

**Furrer, E.M., R.W. Katz, M.D. Walter, and R. Furrer, ** 2010: "Statistical modeling of hot spells and heat waves." *Climate Research*, **43**, 191-205. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2010: "Statistics of extremes in climate change." *Climatic Change*, **100**, 71-76. [pdf file]

**Podesta, P., F. Bert, B. Rajagopalan, S. Apipattanavis, C. Laciana, E. Weber, W. Easterling, R. Katz, D. Letson, and A. Menendez** 2009: "Decadal climate variability in the Argentine Pampas: regional impacts of plausible climate scenarios on agricultural systems." *Climate Research*, **40**, 199-210. [pdf file]

**Letson, D., C.E. Laciana, F.E. Bert, E.U. Weber, R.W. Katz, X.I. Gonzalez, and G.P. Podesta, ** 2009: "Value of perfect ENSO phase predictions for agriculture: evaluating the impact of land tenure and decision objectives." * Climatic Change*, **97**, 145-170. [pdf file]

**Furrer, E.M., and R.W. Katz, ** 2008: "Improving the simulation of extreme precipitation events by stochastic weather generators." * Water Resources Research*, **44**, W12439, doi:10.1029/2008WR007316. [pdf file]

**Zheng, X., and R.W. Katz, ** 2008: "Simulation of spatial dependence in daily rainfall using multisite generators." * Water Resources Research*, **44**, W09403, doi:10.1029/2007WR006399. [pdf file]

**Zheng, X., and R.W. Katz, ** 2008: "Mixture model of generalized chain-dependent processes and its application to simulation of interannual variability of daily rainfall." * Journal of Hydrology*, **349**, 191-199. [pdf file]

**Apipattanavis, S., G. Podesta, B. Rajagopalan, and R.W. Katz, ** 2007: "A semiparametric multivariate and multisite weather generator." * Water Resources Research*, **43**, W11401, doi:10.1029/2006WR005714. [pdf file]

**Harper, B.R., R.W. Katz, and R.C. Harriss,** 2007: "Statistical methods for quantifying the effect of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation on wind power in the North Great Plains of the United States." * Wind Engineering*, **31**, 123-137. [pdf file]

**Furrer, E.M., and R.W. Katz, ** 2007: "Generalized linear modeling approach to stochastic weather generators." * Climate Research*, **34**, 129-144. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., and M. Ehrendorfer, ** 2006: "Bayesian approach to decision making using ensemble weather forecasts." * Weather and Forecasting*, ** 21**, 220-231. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., G.S. Brush, and M.B. Parlange, ** 2005: "Statistics of extremes: Modeling ecological disturbances." * Ecology*, ** 86**, 1124-1134. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., M.B. Parlange, and C. Tebaldi, ** 2003: "Stochastic modeling of the effects of large-scale circulation on daily weather in the southeastern U.S." * Climatic Change*, ** 60**, 189-216. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., M.B. Parlange, and P. Naveau, ** 2002: "Statistics of extremes in hydrology." *Advances in Water Resources*, ** 25**, 1287-1304. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2002: "Stochastic modeling of hurricane damage." *Journal of Applied Meteorology*, ** 41**, 754-762. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2002: "Sir Gilbert Walker and a connection between El Niño and statistics." *Statistical Science*, ** 17**, 97-112. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2002: "Techniques for estimating uncertainty in climate change scenarios and impact studies." *Climate Research*, **20**, 167-185. [pdf file]

**Parlange, M.B., and R.W. Katz, ** 2000: "An extended version of the Richardson model for simulating daily weather variables." *Journal of Applied Meteorology*, **39**, 610-622. [pdf file]