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# Richard (Rick) Katz's Home Page

## Recent Presentations

**Katz, R.W., ** 2016: "Penultimate approximations for weather and climate extremes." *Workshop on Uncertainty and Causality Assessment in Modeling Extreme and Rate Events*, NCAR/IMAGe, Boulder, CO. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2016: "Quantifying the risk of extreme events in a changing climate." NCAR/IMAGe, Boulder, CO. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2015: "Inferences about extremal behavior of atmospheric variables based on statistical theory of extreme values." *Workshop on Nonlinear Dynamics, Extremes, Geohazards and Predictability of the Earth System*, Hamburg, Germany. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2014: "Is the skewness of the distribution of temperature increasing?" *American Meteorological Society, 22nd Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences*, Atlanta, GA. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2013: "Statistical methods for relating temperature extremes to large-scale meteorological patterns." *US CLIVAR Workshop on Analyses, Dynamics, and Modeling of Large Scale Meterological Patterns Associated with Extreme Temperature and Precipitation Events*, Berkeley, CA. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., and H. Rootzen, ** 2013: "Design life level: Quantifying the risk of extreme events in a changing climate." Consortium on Regional Climatology and Adaptation to Climate Change (OURANOS), Montreal, Canada. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., and H. Rootzen, ** 2013: "Design life level: Quantifying the risk of extreme events in a changing climate." *American Statistical Association Joint Statistical Meetings*, Montreal, Canada. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2012: "Economic impact of extreme climate events: An approach based on penultimate extreme value theory." *American Statistical Association Joint Statistical Meetings*, San Diego, CA. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2012: "Improving the simulation of extremes by stochastic weather generators." *Workshop on Stochastic Weather Generators*, Roscoff, France. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2012: "Evidence for clustering of temperatures at high levels based on extreme value theory." *American Meteorological Society, 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences*, New Orleans, LA. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W.,** 2011: "Economic impact of extreme events: An approach based on extreme value theory." *American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting*, San Francisco, CA. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W.** 2011: "Economic impact of extreme climate events: Implications for uncertainty quantification in risk analysis." *SAMSI Uncertainty Quantification Program: Climate Modeling Opening Workshop*, Pleasanton, CA. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W.** 2011: "Statistics of precipitation extremes: Quantifying confidence in trends." *Monitoring Changes in Extreme Storm Statistics: State of Knowledge*, National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, NC. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W.** 2011: "Overview of extreme value analysis under climate change." *US CLIVAR/NCAR ASP Researcher Colloquium on Statistical Assessment of Extreme Weather Phenomena under Climate Change*, NCAR, Boulder, CO. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W.** 2011: "Extensions of generalized linear modeling approach to stochastic weather generators." Laboratoire d'etude des Transferts en Hydrologie et Environnement, Grenoble, France. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W.** 2011: "Statistical modeling of hot spells and heat waves." Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, Victoria, British Columbia. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W.** 2011: "Statistical modeling of hot spells and heat waves." North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., and E.M. Furrer** 2010: "Statistical modeling of hot spells and heat waves." *American Statistical Association Section on Statistics and Environment, Workshop on Environmetrics*, Boulder, CO. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2010: "Sir Gilbert Walker and a connection between El Nino and statistics: From 'typical Cambridge don' to renaissance man." Isaac Newton Institute, Cambridge University. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2010: "Extreme value analysis for climate time series." *Extreme Events in Climate and Weather - An Interdisciplinary Workshop*, Banff, Alberta. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., Y. Kim, and B. Rajagopalan, ** 2010: "Use of hidden Markov models to assess predictability on annual to decadal time scales." *11th International Meeting on Statistical Climatology*, Edinburgh, Scotland. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2010: "Assessing the quality and economic value of weather and climate forecasts." Statistical Society of Australia, Perth, Australia. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2010: "Statistical modeling of hot spells and heat waves." CSIRO Mathematics, Informatics and Statistics, Perth, Australia. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., E.M. Furrer, and M.D. Walter, ** 2010: "Statistical modeling of hot spells and heat waves." *American Meteorological Society, 20th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences*, Atlanta, GA. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., E.M. Furrer, and M.D. Walter, ** 2009: "Statistical modeling of hot spells and heat waves." *International Conference on Extreme Value Analysis*, Fort Collins, CO. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2009: "Improving the treatment of extremes in the generation of climate change scenarios." *SEAMOCS-Workshop on Effects of Climate Change: Coastal Systems, Policy Implications, and the Role of Statistics*, Sliema, Malta. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2009: "Generalized linear modeling approach to stochastic weather generators." Max Planck Institute, Hamburg. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2008: "Generalized linear modeling approach to stochastic weather generators." Michigan State University. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2008: "Extending the concepts of return period and return level to a changing climate." *Workshop on Precipitation Intensity Estimates in a Changing Climate*, National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, NC. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2008: "Statistics of extremes in climate: Reconciling theory with observations." *Cherry Bud Workshop*, Keio University, Yokohama, Japan. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2008: "Stochastic modeling of hurricane damage: Reanalysis of updated data." *American Meteorological Society, 19th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences*, New Orleans, LA. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2008: "Extremal models and environmental applications." *Workshop on Spatial Extremes and Environmental Sustainability: Statistical Methods and Applications in Geophysics and the Environment*, Swiss Federal Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research, Davos. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2007: "Generalized linear modeling approach to stochastic weather generators." University of Buenos Aires, Argentina. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2007: "Use of statistics of extremes to detect trends in hurricane statistics." *SEAMOCS-Workshop on Implications of Climate Change for Marine and Coastal Safety*, Palmse, Estonia. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., and E.M. Furrer, ** 2007: "Improving the simulation of extreme events by stochastic weather generators." *10th International Meeting on Statistical Climatology*, Beijing, China. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2007: "Forecast verification of extremes: Use of extreme value theory." University of Exeter, UK. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2007: "Quantifying the economic value of weather forecasts: Review of methods and results." *Workshop on Meteorology meets Social Science: Risk, Forecast and Decision*, UK Met Office, Exeter. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2007: "Assessing the quality and economic value of weather and climate forecasts." Colorado School of Mines. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., and E.M. Furrer, ** 2007: "Generalized linear modeling approach to stochastic weather generators." *American Meteorological Society, 19th Conference on Climate Variability and Change*, San Antonio, TX. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2007: "Economic value of forecasts." *Forecast Integration Workshop*, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2006: "Hidden and not-so-hidden Markov models: Implications for environmental data analysis." Auckland, Otago, and Victoria Universities, New Zealand. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2006: "Forecast verification of extremes: Use of extreme value theory." National Institute of Water & Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., and E.M. Furrer, ** 2006: "Generalized linear modeling approach to stochastic weather generators." National Institute of Water & Atmospheric Research, Wellington, New Zealand. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2006: "Dynamics of coupled natural and human systems: Climate, agriculture, and complexity in the Argentine Pampas." NCAR/ISSE informal talk, Boulder, CO [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2006: "Stochastic modeling of hurricane damage under climate change." Laboratoire des Sciences du Climate et de l'Environnement, Gif-sur-Yvette, France. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., and M. Ehrendorfer, ** 2006: "Bayesian approach to decision making using ensemble weather forecasts." Stony Brook University, NY. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2006: "Determining whether extreme weather events are becoming more common." *The International Environmetrics Society 2006 Conference*, Kalmar, Sweden. [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2006: "Hidden and not-so-hidden Markov models: Implications for environmental data analysis." *Cherry Bud Workshop*, Keio University, Yokohama, Japan [pdf file]

**Katz, R.W., ** 2006: "Forecast verification of extremes: Use of extreme value theory." *American Meteorological Society, 18th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences*, Atlanta, GA. [pdf file]