Issue 30, January 2005

Upcoming Meetings
Past Meetings
Fundamental Links
View in PDF
Previous Issues

Recent ENSO Related Publications
Books - Reports - Articles


Arabas, K.B. and J. Bowersox (Eds.), 2004: Forest Futures: Science, Politics, and Policy for the Next Century. Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, Inc., 4501 Forbes Blvd., Suite 200, Lanham, MD 20706.

Bothe, M. and E. Rehbinder (Eds.), 2005: Climate Change Policy. Eleven International Publishing, PO Box 358, 3500 AJ Utrecht, The Netherlands;

Field, C.B. and M.R. Raupach, 2004: Global Carbon Cycle: Integrating Humans, Climate, and the Natural World. Island Press, 1718 Connecticut Avenue, NW, Suite 300, Washington, DC 20009-1148;

Glover, L.K. and S.A. Earle, 2004: Defying Ocean’s End: An Agenda for Action. Island Press; 1718 Connecticut Avenue, NW, Suite 300, Washington, DC 20009-1148;

Hayhoe, K., L. Kalkstein, S. Moser, and N. Miller, 2004: Rising Heat and Risks to Human Health: Technical Appendix. Cambridge, MA: Union of Concerned Scientists.

Lomborg, B., 2004: Global Crises, Global Solutions. Cambridge University Press, 40 W. 20 th St., New York, NY 10011-4211; web:

Meadows, Dennis, D. Meadows, and J. Randers, 2004: Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update. Earthscan Publications Ltd., 120 Pentonville Road, London N1 9JN, UK;

Pearce, F., 2004: Keepers of the Spring: Reclaiming Our Water in an Age of Globalization. Island Press; 1718 Connecticut Avenue, NW, Suite 300, Washington, DC 20009-1148;

Philander, S.G., 2004: Our Affair with El Niño. Princeton University Press, 41 William St., Princeton, NY 08540-5237; web:

Pelling, M. 2003: Natural Disasters and Development in a Globalizing World. Routledge, UK Head Office, 11 New Fetter Lane, London EC4P 4EE, UK;

Ramsar Convention Secretariat, 2004: Ramsar Handbooks for the Wise Use of Wetlands. 2 nd Edition.

Ramsar Convention Secretariat, Rue Mauverney 28, CH-1196 Gland, Switzerland;

Theobald, K., S. Sundback, B. Evans, and M. Joas, 2004. Governing Sustainable Cities. Earthscan Publications Ltd., 120 Pentonville Road, London N1 9JN, UK;

Trottier, J. and P. Slack, 2005: Managing Water Resources, Past and Present. Oxford University Press, Great Clarendon Street, Oxford OX2 6DP, UK;

UN-HABITAT, 2004: State of the World’s Cities 2004/2005. Earthscan Publications Ltd., 120 Pentonville Road, London N1 9JN, UK;

Walters, C.J. and S.J.D. Martell, 2004: Fisheries Ecology and Management. Princeton Univ. Press, 41 William St., Princeton, NY 08540-5237; web:

Weart, S.R., 2004: The Discovery of Global Warming. Harvard University Press, 79 Garden Street, Cambridge, MA 02138;

West, N., 2004: Marine Affairs Dictionary: Term, Concepts, Laws, Court Cases and International Conventions and Agreements. Praeger, 88 Post Road West, Westport, CT 06881;

Van Driesche, J. and R. Van Driesche, 2004: Nature Out of Place: Biological Invasions in the Global Age. Island Press; 1718 Connecticut Avenue, NW, Suite 300, Washington, DC 20009-1148 USA;

Zonn, I.S., 2004: Caspian Encyclopedia. International Relations Publishing House.


Assaf, K., B. Attia, A. Darwish, B. Wardam, and S. Klawitter, 2004: Water as a Human Right: The Understanding of Water in the Arab Countries of the Middle East – A Four Country Analysis. Global Issue Papers, 11, September. Heinrich-Böll-Foundation, Hackesche Höfe, Rosenthaler Str. 40/41, D-10178 Berlin.

Buddemeier, R.W., J.A. Kleypas, and R.B. Aronson, 2004: Coral Reefs & Global Climate Change: Potential Contributions of Climate Change to Stresses on Coral Reef Ecosystems. Pew Center on Global Climate Change, 2101 Wilson Blvd., Suite 550, Arlington, VA 22201;

Burke, L. and J. Maidens, 2004: Reefs at Risk in the Caribbean. World Resources Institute, 10 G. St. N.E., Suite 800, Washington, DC 20002;

Cohen, S. D. Neilsen, R. Welbourn (Eds.), 2004: Expanding the Dialogue on Climate Change & Water Management in the Okanagan Basin, British Columbia. Final Report. Environment Canada, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada and University of British Columbia, Vancouver;

Easterling III, W.E., B.H. Hurd, and J.B. Smith, 2004: Coping with Global Climate Change: The Role of Adaptation in the United States. Pew Center on Global Climate Change, 2101 Wilson Blvd., Suite 550, Arlington, VA 22201;

FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations), 2004: The State of Food and Agriculture 2003-04. FAO, V. delle Terme di Caracalla, 00100 Rome, Italy;

Handa, S. and K.R. Simler, with S. Horrower, 2004: Human Capital, Household Welfare, and Children’s Schooling in Mozambique. Research Report 134. International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), 2033 K. Street, NW, Washington, DC 20006-1002;

ICIMOD ( International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development), 2004: ICIMOD Annual Report 2003. ICIMOD, GPO Box 3226, Kathmandu, Nepal;

IFRCRCS (International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies), 2004: World Disaster Report 2004. Kumarian Press Inc, 1294 Blue Hills Ave, Bloomfield, CT 06002;

Kura, Y., C. Revenga, E. Hoshino, and G. Mock, 2004: Fishing for Answers: Making Sense of the Global Fish Crisis. World Resources Institute, 10 G. St. N.E., Suite 800, Washington, DC 20002;

Nikonya, E. J. Pender, P. Jagger, D. Sserunkuuma, C. Kaizzi, and H. Ssali, 2004: Strategies for Sustainable Land Management and Poverty Reduction in Uganda. Research Report 133. International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), 2033 K. St., NW, Washington, DC 20006-1002;

Parmesan, C. and H. Galbraith, 2004: Observed Impacts of Global Climate Change in the U.S. Pew Center on Global Climate Change, 2101 Wilson Blvd., Suite 550, Arlington, VA 22201;

Pilon, P.J. (Ed.), 2004: Guidelines for Reducing Flood Losses. United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (UN/ISDR), Palais des Nations, CH 1211 Geneva 10, Switzerland;

Shui, B., 2004: Re-estimation and Reflection: The Role of Consumer Demand in U.S. Energy Use and CO 2 emissions. ACEEE Summer Study on Energy Efficiency in Buildings. ACEEE (American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy), 1001 Connecticut Ave., #801, Washington, DC 20036;

Sylves, R. and H. Wood (Eds.), 2004: Hazards Watch: Reducing the Impacts of Disasters through Improved Earth Observations. Summary of a workshop, October 22, 2003, Washington, DC. The National Academies Press, 500 Fifth St., NW, Washington, DC 20001;

Tebaldi, C., D. Nychka, and L.O. Mearns, 2004: From Global Mean Responses to Regional Signals of Climate Change: Simple Pattern Scaling, Its Limitations (or lack of) and the Uncertainty in Its Results. In: Proceedings of the 18th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Science s, AMS Annual Meeting, Seattle, WA.

U.S. Commission on Ocean Policy, 2004: An Ocean Blueprint for the 21 st Century, Final Report of the U.S. Commission on Ocean Policy. USCOP, 1120 20 th St., NW, Suite 200 North, Washington, DC 20036;

WHO, 2004: The World Health Report 2004: HIV/AIDS: Changing History. WMO, 20 Avenue Appia, CH-1211 Geneva 27, Switzerland;

WHO, 2004: Using Climate to Predict Disease Outbreaks: A Review. WMO, 20 Avenue Appia, CH-1211 Geneva 27, Switzerland;

WRI (World Resources Institute), 2003: World Resources 2002-2004: Decisions for the Earth: Balance, Voice and Power. World Resources Institute, 10 G. St. N.E., Suite 800, Washington, DC 20002;


Armitage, D., 2004: Nature-society dynamics, policy narratives, and ecosystem management: Integrating perspectives on upland change and complexity in Central Sulawesi, Indonesia. Ecosystems, Online First: doi: 10.1007/s10021-004-0183-y.

Beier, C. B. Emmett, P. Gundersen et al., 2004: Novel approaches to study climate change effects on terrestrial ecosystems in the field: Drought and passive nighttime warming. Ecosystems, 7(6), 583-597.

Belay, K., 2004: Management of droughts and famines in Ethiopia. Journal of Social Development in Africa, 19(1), 93-127.

Carlsson, L. and M. Lazdinis, 2004: Institutional frameworks for sustainability? A comparative analysis of the forest sectors of Russia and the Baltic states. AMBIO, 33(6), 366-370.

Changnon, D., 2004: Supplement to improving outreach in atmospheric sciences: Assessment of users of climate products. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 85(4), 606-606.

Chapin III, F.S., G. Peterson, F. Berkes et al., 2004: Resilience and vulnerability of northern regions to social and environmental change. AMBIO, 33(6), 344-349.

Chen, C.-C., B.A. McCarl, and D.E. Schimmelpfennig, 2004: Yield variability as influenced by climate: A statistical investigation. Climatic Change, 66(1-2), 239-261.

Chen, C.-T.A., J.T. Liu, and B.-J. Tsuang, 2004: Island-based catchment—the Taiwan example. Regional Environmental Change, 4(1), 39-48.

Chung, Y.-S., M.-B. Yoon, and H.-S. Kim, 2004: On climate variations and changes observed in South Korea. Climatic Change, 66(1-2), 151-161.

Claussen, E., 2004: An effective approach to climate change. Science, 306 (5697), 816.

Cooper, J.A.G. and O.H. Pilkey, 2004: Sea-level rise and shoreline retreat: Time to abandon the Bruun Rule. Global and Planetary Change, 43(3-4), 157-171.

Darwin, R., 2004: Effects of greenhouse gas emissions on world agriculture, food consumption, and economic welfare. Climatic Change, 66(1/2), 191-238.

Forbes, B.C., N. Fresco, A. Shvidenko, K. Danell, and F.S. Chapin III, 2004: Geographic variations in anthropogenic drivers that influence the vulnerability and resilience of social-ecological systems. AMBIO, 33(6), 377-382.

Fritsch, J.M. and R.E. Carbone, 2004: Improving quantitative precipitation forecasts in the warm season: A USWRP research and development strategy. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 85(7), 955-965.

Gurjar, B.R. and J. Lelieveld, 2005: New directions: Megacities and global change. Atmospheric Environment, 39(2), 391-393.

Gurjar, B.R., J.A. van Aardenne, J. Lelieveld, M. Mohan, 2004: Emission estimates and trends (1990-2000) for megacity Delhi and implications. Atmospheric Environment, 38(33), 5663-5681.

Heerink, N., 2005: Soil fertility decline and economic policy reform in Sub-Saharan Africa. Land Use Policy, 22(1), 67-74.

Hunt, B.G. and T.I. Elliott, 2004: Interaction of climatic variability with climatic change. Atmosphere-Ocean, 42(3), 145-172.

Imhoff, M.L., L. Bounoua, T. Ricketts, C. Loucks, R. Harris, and W.T. Lawrence, 2004: Global patterns in human consumption of net primary production. Nature, 429, 870-873.

Jokiel, P.L. and E.K. Brown, 2004: Global warming, regional trends and inshore environmental conditions influence coral bleaching in Hawaii. Global Change Biology, 10(10), 1627-1641.

Jordan, A. and T. O’Riordan, 2004: Institutions for global environmental change. Global Environmental Change, 14(2), 189.

Karayev, R., R. Abdullayeva, R. Guilyev, A. Gasanov, and R. Nabiyev, 2004: Environmental monitoring of Caspian oilfields: New paradigm, new solutions. Interdisciplinary Environmental Review, 6(1), 71-81.

Katz, R.W., 2004: Review of Forecast Verification: A Practitioner's Guide to Atmospheric Science (I.T. Jolliffe and D.B. Stephenson, Eds.). Biometrics, 60, 566-567.

Koning, N. and E. Smaling, 2005: Environmental crisis or ‘lie of the land’? The debate on soil degradation in Africa. Land Use Policy, 22(1), 3-11.

Kruse, J.A., R.G. White, H.E. Epstein et al., 2004: Modeling sustainability of Arctic communities: An interdisciplinary collaboration of researchers and local knowledge holders. Ecosystems, Online First, doi: 10.1007/s10021-004-0008-z.

Kujinga, K. and E. Manzungu, 2004: Enduring contestations: Stakeholder strategic action in water resource management in the save catchment area, Eastern Zimbabwe. Eastern Africa Social Science Research Review, 20(1), 67-92.

Lee, R.F. and M.E. Frischer, 2004: The decline of the blue crab: Changing weather patterns and a suffocating parasite may have reduced the numbers of this species along the Eastern seaboard. American Scientist, 92(6), 548-553.

Lengaigne, M., E. Guilyardi, J.-P. Boulanger et al., 2004: Triggering of El Niño by westerly wind events in a coupled general circulation model. Climate Dynamics, Online First; doi: 10.1007/s00382-004-0457-2.

Meehl, G.A., C. Tebaldi and D. Nychka, 2004: Changes in frost days in simulations of twenty-first century climate. Climate Dynamics, 23(5), 495-511.

Meehl, G.A., W.M. Washington, C.M. Ammann, J.M. Arblaster, T.M.L. Wigley, and C. Tebaldi, 2004: Combinations of natural and anthropogenic forcings in twentieth-century climate. Journal of Climate, 17(19), 3721-3727.

Moser, S.C. and L. Dilling, 2004: Making climate hot: Communicating the urgency and challenge of global climate change. Environment, 46(10), 32-48.

Moser, S., K. Hayhoe, and M. Wander, 2004: Climate change in the Hawkeye State: Potential impacts on Iowa communities and ecosystems. Cambridge, MA: Union of Concerned Scientists.

Nguyen, N.T. and T. Bosteels, 2004: Developing CDM in Vietnam. Tiempo, 53(October), 20-23.

Orlovsky, L., N. Orlovsky, and A. Durdyev, 2005: Dust storms in Turkmenistan. Journal of Arid Environments, 60(1), 83-97.

Pachauri, R.K., 2004: Climate and humanity. Global Environmental Change, 14(2), 101-103.

Page, C.M., N. Nicholls, N. Plummer et al., 2004: Data rescue in the Southeast Asia and South Pacific region: Challenges and opportunities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 85(10), 1483-1489.

Pielke, Jr., R.A., 2004. The End of Research? A Perspective for the Consortium for Science, Policy, and Outcomes,, Arizona State University, October.

Potter, C., P. Zhang, S. Klooster, V. Genovese, S. Shekhar, and V. Kumar, 2004: Understanding Controls on Hhistorical River Discharge in the World’s Largest Drainage Basins. Earth Interactions, 8(Paper 2).

Snyman, H.A. and C.C. du Preez, 2004: Rangeland degradation in a semi-arid South Africa —II: Influence on soil quality. Journal of Arid Environments, 60(3), 483-507.

Suppiah, R., 2004: Trends in the southern oscillation phenomenon and Australian rainfall and changes in their relationship. International Journal of Climatology, 24(3), 269-290.

Terray, P., S. Dominiak, and P. Delecluse, 2004: Role of the southern Indian Ocean in the transitions of the monsoon-ENSO system during recent decades. Climate Dynamics, Online First; doi: 10.1007/s00382-004-0480-3.

Thanh, T.D., Y.Saito, D.V. Huy, V.L. Nguyen, T.K.O. Ta, and M. Tateishi, 2004: Regimes of human and climate impacts on coastal changes in Vietnam. Regional Environmental Change. 4(1), 49-62.

Tiwari, V.M., C. Cabanes, K. DoMinh, and A. Cazenave, 2004: Correlation of interannual sea level variations in the Indian Ocean from Topex/Poseidon altimetry, temperature data and tide gauges with ENSO. Global and Planetary Change, 43(3-4), 183-196.

Ullsten, O., J.G. Speth, and F.S. Chapin III, 2004: Options for enhancing the resilience of northern countries to rapid social and environmental change: A message to policy makers. AMBIO, 33(6), 343-343.

Walsh, K.J.E., K.C. Nguyen, and J.L. McGregor, 2004: Fine-resolution regional climate model simulations of the impact of climate change on tropical cyclones near Australia. Climate Dynamics, 22(1), 47-56.

Wang, R. and Y. Ye, 2004: Eco-city development in China. AMBIO, 33(6), 341-342.

Warner, T.T., J.F. Bowers, S.P. Swerdlin, and B.A. Beitler, 2004: A rapidly deployable operational mesoscale modeling system for emergency-response applications. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 85(5), 709-716.

Wassmann, R., N.X. Hien, C.T. Hoanh, T.P. Tuong, 2004: Sea level rise affecting the Vietnamese Mekong Delta: Water elevation in the flood season and implications for rice production. Climatic Change, 66(1-2), 89-107.

Zavala-Garay, J., A.M. Moore, and R. Kleeman, 2004: Influence of stochastic forcing on ENSO prediction. Journal of Geophysical Research, 109, C11007, doi: 10.1029/2004JC002406.

Zhou, Y. and R.S.J. Tol, 2004: Implications of desalination for water resources in China—an economic perspective. Desalination, 164, 225-240.


To submit an item to appear in the next ENSO Signal, please use the on-line form in the Comments and Feedback section, or send an email to Information to be included in the next issue of the ENSO Signal must be received by 31 March 2005.