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Title Statistical Models for Regional Climate Change Probability Distributions
Type Research Project
URL www.assessment.ucar.edu/uncertainty_models/index.html
Abstract
Participants Claudia Tebaldi
Linda Mearns
Start Date Spring 2003
Funders Weather and Climate Impacts Assessment Science Initiative at NCAR
Keywords statistical modeling
quantification of uncertainty in climate change projections
bayesian analysis
multi-model ensembles
regional climate change signals
probability distributions
model validation
Research Themes Integrated Science and Regional Applications
Use of Scientific Information in Decision Processes

 

"Because the pathway to sustainability cannot be charted in advance, it will have to be navigated through trial and error and conscious experimentation. The urgent need is to design strategies and institutions that can better integrate incomplete knowledge with experimental action into programs of adaptive management and social learning."
NRC, Our Common Journey (1999)