Projects
| Title | Statistical Models for Regional Climate Change Probability Distributions |
| Type | Research Project |
| URL | www.assessment.ucar.edu/uncertainty_models/index.html |
| Abstract | |
| Participants | Claudia Tebaldi Linda Mearns |
| Start Date | Spring 2003 |
| Funders | Weather and Climate Impacts Assessment Science Initiative at NCAR |
| Keywords | statistical modeling quantification of uncertainty in climate change projections bayesian analysis multi-model ensembles regional climate change signals probability distributions model validation |
| Research Themes | Integrated Science and Regional Applications Use of Scientific Information in Decision Processes |
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| "Because the pathway to sustainability cannot be
charted in advance, it will have to be navigated through trial and error and conscious experimentation. The urgent need is to
design strategies and institutions that can better integrate incomplete knowledge with experimental action into programs of
adaptive management and social learning." |
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