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Title Abrupt Climate Change: Multivariate Dependence in Climate Extremes
Type Research Project
URL no url available
Abstract The objective of this project is to develop a new solution to enable a better understanding and prediction of climate extremes, extremal climate teleconnections, and abrupt climate change. Recent advances in statistics will be further developed and implemented, and new theory will be developed, to quantify time-lagged extremal associations. This will be achieved by utilizing cutting-edge developments in extremal statistics over the last few years, as well as by developing new statistical methodologies for multivariate extremal dependence.
Participants Richard Katz
Auroop Ganguly (ORNL)
Start Date October 2005
Funders ORNL
Keywords extreme value theory
statistics of extremes
surprise
Research Themes Assessment Methods, Products and Tools
Vulnerability, Adaptation, Thresholds and Resilience

 

"Because the pathway to sustainability cannot be charted in advance, it will have to be navigated through trial and error and conscious experimentation. The urgent need is to design strategies and institutions that can better integrate incomplete knowledge with experimental action into programs of adaptive management and social learning."
NRC, Our Common Journey (1999)