Statistics of Weather and Climate Extremes


References


Bibliography: Statistics of extremes in climate change

Click here to access a bibliography of recent papers, appearing in the atmospheric science and related literature, applying the statistics of extremes to climate change


Books and lecture notes on statistics of extremes

An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values by Stuart Coles (Springer, 2001)
Statistical Analysis of Extreme Values with Applications to Insurance, Finance, Hydrology, and Other Fields by R.-D. Reiss and M. Thomas (Birkhauser, Third Edition, 2007)
Lecture notes on environmental statistics by Richard Smith (see Chapter 8 on extremes)


Reviews on applying statistics of extremes to weather/climate/related areas

IPCC Workshop on Changes in Extreme Weather and Climate Events, Beijing, China, 11-13 June 2002 (see Section 7 on statistical methods, pp. 31-32).
Weather and Climate Extremes in a Changing Climate, U.S. Climate Change Science Program, June 2008 (see Chapter 2).
Engeland, K., H. Hisdal, and A. Frigessi, 2004: "Practical extreme value modelling of hydrological floods and droughts: A case study." Extremes, 7, 5-30.
Garrett, C., and P. Muller, 2008: "Extreme events." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 89, ES45-ES56. (Online Supplement)
Katz, R.W., G.S. Brush, and M.B. Parlange, 2005: "Statistics of extremes: Modeling ecological disturbances." Ecology, 86, 1124-1134.
Katz, R.W., M.B. Parlange, and P. Naveau, 2002: "Statistics of extremes in hydrology." Advances in Water Resources, 25, 1287-1304.
Naveau, P., M. Nogaj, C. Ammann, P. Yiou, D. Cooley, and V. Jomelli, 2005: "Statistical methods for the analysis of climate extremes." Comptes Rendus Geoscience, 337, 1013-1022.
Palutikof, J.P., B.B. Brabson, D.H. Lister, and S.T. Adcock, 1999: "A review of methods to calculate extreme wind speeds." Meteorological Applications, 6, 119-132.


Simulation of extremes by stochastic weather generators

Furrer, E.M., and R.W. Katz, 2008: "Improving the simulation of extreme precipitation events by stochastic weather generators." Water Resources Research, 44, W12439, doi:10.1029/2008WR007316.
Kysely, K., and M. Dubrovsky, 2005: "Simulation of extreme temperature events by a stochastic weather generator: Effects of interdiurnal and interannual variability reproduction." International Journal of Climatology, 25, 251-269.
Qian, B., S. Gameda, and H. Hayhoe, 2008: "Performance of stochastic weather generators LARS-WG and AAFC-WG for reproducing daily extremes of diverse Canadian climates." Climate Research, 37, 17-33.
Semenov, M.A., 2008: "Simulation of extreme weather events by a stochastic weather generator." Climate Research, 35, 203-212.


Statistics of breaking records

Glick, N., 1978: "Breaking records and breaking boards." American Mathematical Monthly, 85, 2-26.


Verification of forecasts of extreme weather events

Web page by Barbara Casati on Analysis and Verification of Weather and Climate Extremes
Ferro, C.A.T., 2007: "A probability model for verifying deterministic forecasts of extreme events." Weather and Forecasting, 22, 1089-1100.

Katz, R.W., 2006: "Forecast verification of extremes: Use of extreme value theory." American Meteorological Society, 18th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, GA.

Stephenson, D.B., B. Casati, C.A.T. Ferro and C.A. Wilson, 2008: "The extreme dependency score: A non-vanishing measure for forecasts of rare events." Meteorological Applications, 15, 41-50.
Yakima temperature


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