NCAR --> SERE --> CCB --> ISSE --> ASP --> Climate & Health

advanced 

NCAR Summer Colloquium on Climate and Health
July 17-21, 2006

AGENDA

Tuesday July 20
17:00-19:30 Welcome Reception at CU
Haven Room in Darley Commons - Williams Village Lounge, Colorado University
Registration
Wednesday July 21
08:00 Bus departs from CU Williams Village Dormitory (500 30th St., Boulder, CO, Tel: 303-492-6573) to FL2
08:15-08:30 Main Seminar Room FL2_1022
Distribution of Colloquium Reader
08:30-09:00 Introduction to theColloquium; Climate and Health: The Interdisciplinary Challange
L. Mearns/NCAR
09:00-09:30 Introduction to Climate and Health Issues.
J. Patz/Johns Hopkins
09:30-09:45 Welcome to NCAR
Tim Killeen/NCAR Director
Session 1: Climate and Climate Modeling. Chair: Linda Mearns
09:45-10:30 The Earth's climate system variability and change.
K. Trenberth/NCAR
10:30-11:00 Break
11:00-12:00 Climate modeling; General overview of how models work, type of info they produce, basic qualitative info on climate change.
W. Collins/NCAR,

12:00-13:00 How should rainfall change as climate changes: Prospects for increases in extremes?
K. Trenberth/NCAR
13:00-13:45 Lunch
13:45 Bus departs from FL2 to Center Green
13:50-17:45 CTTC - Center Green
Extreme Events Tutorial: Extremes; analyzing extremes, extreme value theory, extremes toolkit.
R. Katz, D. Nychka, E. Gilleland-NCAR
15:15 Break
15:30-17:45 CTTC - Center Green
Extreme Events Tutorial: Extremes; analyzing extremes, extreme value theory, extremes toolkit.
R. Katz, D. Nychka, E. Gilleland-NCAR
17:45 Bus departs from Center Green to CU dormitory
Thursday July 22
08:30 Bus departs from CU Williams Village Dormitory (500 30th St., Boulder, CO, Tel: 303-492-6573) to FL2
09:00-10:00 Main Seminar Room FL2_1022
Climate change - components - emissions scenarios - calculation of uncertainty of climate change on global scale.
T. Wigley/NCAR
10:00-11:00 Regional Climate Change - Calculating Probabilities.
D. Nychka, C. Tebaldi/NCAR
11:00-11:30 Break
11:30-12:30 Downscaling - Regional Modeling.
L. Mearns/NCAR
12:30-13:15 Lunch
13:15 Bus departs from FL2 to Center Green
13:30-17:30 CTTC - Center Green
Statistical Downscaling Tutorial-Part 1.
Rob Wilby/Environmental Agency UK
15:15 Break
15:45-17:45 Statistical Downscaling Tutorial-Part 2.
Rob Wilby/Environmental Agency UK
17:45 Bus departs from Center Green to CU dormitory
Friday July 23
Session 2: Approaches to Studying Climate and Infectious Diseases and Case Study of West Nile Virus.
Chair: Jonathan Patz
08:00 Bus departs from CU Williams Village Dormitory (500 30th St., Boulder, CO, Tel: 303-492-6573) to FL2
08:30-09:00 Main Seminar Room FL2_1022
Overview of Epidemiology
J. Patz/Johns Hopkins
09:00-10:00 Infectious disease ecology I.
M. Wilson/University of Michigan
10:00-10:30 Group Photo & Break
10:30-11:15 Infectious disease ecology II.
M. Wilson/University of Michigan
11:15-12:00 Arboviruses in the urban setting (Dengue fever).
M. Hayden/University of Colorado
12:00-13:00 CDC' s Arbonet & emergence of West Nile virus in US.
C. Moore/CDC
13:00-14:00 Working Lunch
Scenarios, Reinsurance & Economic Impacts: Update from Swiss Re, Ruschlicon meeting
P. Epstein/Harvard
14:00-14:30 USGS's West Nile Virus Program: integrating wildlife, equine and human data.
E. Saito/USGS
14:30-15:00 The Humans in Human Ecology: Society and West Nile Virus
E. Zielinski-Gutierrez
15:00-15:15 Break
15:15-16:00 Panel Discussion on Climate & Infectious Diseases
16:00-17:00 Predicting West Nile using climate, land use and mosquito data (Model Demonstration).
R. Barbour/Yale and J. Patz/Johns Hopkins
17:00-17:30 Software loading in preparation for Monday's tutorial.
17:45 Bus departs from FL2 to CU dormitory
Monday July 26
Session 3: Applying Remote Sensing and GIS to Infectious Disease Studies. Chair: Jonathan Patz
08:00 Bus departs from CU Williams Village Dormitory (500 30th St., Boulder, CO, Tel: 303-492-6573) to FL2
08:30-10:30 Main Seminar Room FL2_1022
Introduction to RS databases and data processing resources.
E. Wood/USGS and S. Batzil/University of Wisconsin
10:30-11:00 Break
11:00-12:00 Case studies in RS and disease in Africa.
M. Thomson/IRI
12:00-12:45 Lunch
12:45 Bus departs from FL2 to Center Green
13:00-16:00 Center Green 1 - Auditorium
Tutorial: Orientation to "Windisp" software for remote sensing analysis for infectious diseases
S. Conner and M. Thomson/IRI
(hands on use of databases and the software - laptops needed).
16:15 Bus departs from Center Green to Flagstaff BBQ
16:30- Flagstaff BBQ
Tuesday July 27
Session 4: Heat Mortality and Air Pollution. Chair: Jonathan Patz
08:00 Bus departs from CU Williams Village Dormitory (500 30th St., Boulder, CO, Tel: 303-492-6573) to FL2
08:30-09:15 Main Seminar Room FL2_1022
An Introduction to Time-series Analysis for climate/health studies.

P. Wilkinson/London School of Hygiene
09:15-9:45 Heat waves in Europe and addressing Weather Extremes.
S. Kovats/ London School of Hygiene
9:45-10:15 Climate change and heat mortality in California.
S. Moser/NCAR
10:15-10:30 Break
10:30-11:00 Heat Wave Mortality Studies based on Clobal Climate Models.
C. Tebaldi/NCAR
11:00-11:30 Moderated Discussion
S.Moser/NCAR
11:30-12:00 Introduction to Time-series Analysis for climate/health studies.
P. Wilkinson/London School of Hygiene
12:00-13:00 Lunch
14:00-14:45 Air Pollution and Atmospheric Chemistry.
S. Madronich/NCAR
14:45-15:45 Climate change and Air Pollution Models.
M. Bell/Yale University
15:45 Bus departs from FL2 to Mesa Lab
16:00-17:30 Visit to NCAR Visualization Lab.
17:45 Bus departs from Mesa Lab to CU dormitory
Wednesday July 28
Session 5: Societal Responses, Integrated Assessment, & Communication of Uncertainties. Chair: Linda Mearns
08:00 Bus departs from CU Williams Village Dormitory (500 30th St., Boulder, CO, Tel: 303-492-6573) to FL2
08:30-09:15 Main Seminar Room FL2_1022
Assessing Population Adaptation and Vulnerability.

K. Ebi/Exponent Consulting
09:15-10:00 Methods of Assessing vulnerability - Report of the World Health Organization.
S. Kovats and K. Ebi
10:00-10:30 Break
10:30-11:30 RISA, Regional Climate Impact Assessment.
R. Pulwarty/NOAA
11:30-12:30 Analyzing Societal Response to Climate Change.
J. Mayer/University of Washington
12:30-13:30 Lunch
13:30-14:30 Strategies for Engaging Students, Teachers, and the General Public in Climate Change and Health Education
R. Johnson/NCAR
14:30-15:00 Applying Science to affect Policy Change.
Peter Backlund/NCAR
15:00-16:00 Institute Wrap Up and next steps.
J. Patz/Johns Hopkins, L. Mearns/NCAR
16:30 Bus departs from FL2 to CU dormitory