AMS Committee on Probability and Statistics
During FY02, Katz assumed maintenance of the website for the American Meteorological Society Committee on Probability and Statistics. He redesigned and updated this site, whose purpose is to promote the sound use of statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences. www.esig.ucar.edu/ams
Case Studies of Forecast Value Website
This comprehensive website categorizes recent case studies of the value of weather and climate forecasts and is maintained and updated by Richard Katz. Originally developed by Shelly Knight (U Colorado, now RAP), its scope is focused on prescriptive studies that obtain quantitative estimates of forecast value. Katz continued to update the site regularly during FY02. www.esig.ucar.edu/HP_rick/esig.html
Michael Glantz continued to develop the notion of "Climate Affairs" during FY02 with a feasibility assessment of a Climate Affairs Master's Program at Columbia University's Earth Institute (New York). The result of this assessment concluded that faculty interest in climate affairs activities exists in many academic departments and institutes at Columbia. Glantz developed generic guidelines for a multi-disciplinary program or course concentration that can be modified to meet the special interests and expertise of faculty members, departments, institutes, centers, students, and schools at this university, as well as at other centers of education and training. This program will be implemented at Columbia in 2003. Glantz will continue to work with Columbia and other universities and colleges in the United States and abroad during FY03.
Glantz collaborated with Professor Susan Burgerman, deputy director of the Institute for Latin American Studies (ILAS) at Columbia University to convene a conference on climate affairs in Latin America. The multidisciplinary, multinational conference was held in January 2002. He also collaborated with Zafar Adeel (United Nations U) to hold a training workshop for the South and Southeast Asian region for a United Nations University/NCAR Climate Affairs Program. This multinational, multidisciplinary workshop was held at the University of Malaya in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, in February 2002. Glantz also made several formal and informal presentations on Climate Affairs during FY02, including one at the Asian Disaster Preparedness Center in Bangkok, Thailand (May 2002) and at Queen's College, Kingston, Ontario (June 2002). He also completed preparations on a book with Island Press entitled Climate Affairs: A Primer, which introduces the notion of climate affairs to a broad audience. This book brings together existing knowledge of the climate-society-environment interplay. It provides an introduction and overview of this new framework and will be published in FY03.
The Economics of Climate Variability and Global Change list (Clim-Econ) is a moderated electronic discussion group, created and managed by Kathleen Miller, which serves to facilitate interdisciplinary discussion on the economic aspects of climate variability and change. The initial subscribers included the participants in the Institute on the Economics of the Climate Resource held at NCAR in June 1995. The list currently has more than 500 subscribers from around the world, including individuals with a variety of backgrounds and professional affiliations. csf.colorado.edu/clim-econ/
During FY02, Robert Harriss, Roberta Johnson (E&O), and Tim Spangler (COMET) initiated an active learning, problem-based module on Disaster Dynamics to enhance collaborative research and educational activities involving NCAR, UCAR, and university faculty. The goal for the first year of the project is to design and implement a role-playing simulation exercise for interactive learning. The demonstration project will involve a hurricane landfall simulation. The primary audience for Disaster Dynamics will be university undergraduate students, and it will be designed to encourage systems thinking, interactive learning through role-playing, and understanding in problem solving. A comprehensive review of existing state-of-the-art tools and methods related to Disaster Dynamics is under way.
Robert Harriss and Shannon McNeeley began a collaboration in FY02 with universities, colleges, and communities along the Texas-Mexico border on a strategy for an "educational alliance" or "virtual college" dedicated to environmental research, education, and professional training. The proposed alliance will form a knowledge network of faculty and students dedicated to understanding the past, present, and possible futures of the unique border culture and environment. The initial focus of the alliance will be on a collaborative faculty design process for building research and education networks. ESIG's goal is to facilitate collaboration and to provide opportunities and infrastructure for faculty and student career development in border universities, colleges, and communities. The long-term outcome of this program will be an enhanced capacity for building human capital and healthy cities along the Texas-Mexico border through increased Hispanic representation in professional careers in the natural, engineering, and social sciences.
Michael Glantz, Editor, and D. Jan Stewart, Managing Editor, produced four issues of the ENSO Signal during FY02 with funds from NOAA's Office of Global Programs and ESIG. The Signal is intended to educate and inform those interested in the ENSO cycle and its impacts on ecosystems and societies, as well as help to maintain interest in ENSO during ENSO-neutral periods. It is available in hard copy and on line. www.esig.ucar.edu/signal/index.html
Michael Glantz has maintained a website of environmental editorials since the late 1990s. He wrote a column for the Boulder Daily Camera for six years and the Boulder Planet for two years thereafter. He then established this website focused primarily on climate-society-environment issues. It includes guest editorials, an Idea Bank, and other editorials on a wide range of climate-related topics. At present, this website receives approximately 5,000 "hits" per week and is growing. www.fragilecologies.com
Richard Katz serves
as co-Principal Investigator, along with Joseph Tribbia (CGD) and Douglas
Nychka (GSP) on a five-year grant (renewal started in FY99) from the NSF
Division of Mathematical Sciences for a GSP Program at NCAR. Nychka serves
as the project leader of GSP. The FY02 accomplishments of GSP are included
under the section for the Climate and Global Dynamics Division.
During FY02, Michael Glantz and Qian Ye (ESIG Scientific Visitor) worked together with Wei Gao (Colorado State U) to develop an International Center for Desert Affairs. The plan was approved by the government of the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region in China, and the Center was officially inaugurated in early FY03 at Xinjiang University in Urumqi. Glantz and Professor Xiaoling Pan, Dean of the College of Resources and Environmental Sciences At Xinjiang University, will act as co-Directors of the Center during its startup phase. Ye will act as the Center's Executive Director. The initial activity is to establish a series of graduate and undergraduate educational courses on a range of desert issues at the University. A series of multidisciplinary workshops and planning activities will be convened in FY03 with scientists from countries in the region. Glantz and Ye will contribute to the development of the Center through the creation of an interactive website in FY03.
Now in its eighteenth year, this international, multidisciplinary newsletter has witnessed continued growth in its mailing list (now almost 4,000 recipients). Michael Glantz, Editor, and D. Jan Stewart, Managing Editor, have continued to work on networking research centers, nongovernmental organizations, universities, institutes, government agencies, and individuals dealing with climate-related impact assessments by producing the quarterly, climate-impacts-related Network Newsletter. Approximately half of its recipients are from developing countries. The newsletter has been produced quarterly since 1985 in its paper edition, and was put on line in FY96. NOAA's Office of Global Programs contributed to the production of the newsletter during the first half of FY02. NCAR contributed funds as well for the last two FY02 issues, and will continue to support the Newsletter in FY03. www.esig.ucar.edu/newshp/index.html