ESIG FY01 Publications

[ Refereed ] [ Non-Refereed ]

 

(* denotes a non-NCAR author; Bold denotes a university affiliation.)

Refereed

Broad, K., A. Pfaff, and M.H. Glantz, 2002: Effective and equitable dissemination of seasonal-to-interannual climate forecasts: Policy implications from the Peruvian fishery during El Niño 1997-98. Climatic Change, accepted for publication.

*Burke, D. et al. (including L.O. Mearns), 2001: Under the Weather: Climate, Ecosystems, and Infectious Disease. Washington, DC: National Academy Press.

Carter, T.R., E. La Rovere, R. Leemans, L.O. Mearns, N. Nakicenovic, A.B. Pittock, S. Semenov, and J. Skea, 2001: The development and applications of scenarios in climate change impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability assessment. Chapter 3 in: Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the IPCC. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 145-190.

Cohen, S. and K.A. Miller (Lead Authors), 2001: North America. Chapter 15 in: Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 735-800.

Committee on Geophysical and Environmental Data (R.J. Serafin, member), 2001: Resolving Conflicts Arising from the Privatization of Environmental Data. National Research Council, Board on Earth Sciences and Resources, Committee on Geophysical and Environmental Data. Washington, DC: National Academy Press.

Downton, M. and R.A. Pielke, Jr., 2001: Discretion without accountability: Climate, flood damage and presidential politics. (PDF file) Natural Hazards Review, 2(4), 157-166.

Easterling, W., L.O. Mearns, and C. Hays, 2001: Comparison of agriculture impacts of climate change calculated from high and low resolution climate model scenarios. Part II: The effect of adaptations. Climatic Change, 51(2), 173-197.

Firor, J.F. and *J.E. Jacobsen, 2002: The Crowded Greenhouse: Population, Climate Change, and Sustainability. Yale University Press (in press).

Firor, J.F., 2002: Walter Orr Roberts. In: M.C. MacCracken and J.S. Perry (eds.), The Earth System: Physical and Chemical Dimensions of Global Environmental Change, Volume 1 of Encyclopedia of Global Environmental Change. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons, 625.

Giorgi, F., P. Whetton, R. Jones, J.H. Christensen, L.O. Mearns, B. Hewitson, and H. Von Storch, 2001: Emerging patterns of simulated regional climatic changes for the 21st century due to anthropogenic forcings. Geophysical Research Letters, 28(17), 3317-3327.

Giorgi, F., B. Hewitson, J. Christensen, M. Hulme, H. Von Storch, P. Whetton, R. Jones, L.O. Mearns, and C. Fu, 2001: Regional climate information: Evaluations and projections. Chapter 10 in: Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of IPCC. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 739-768.

Glantz, M.H., 2001: Currents of Change: El Niño and La Niña Impacts on Climate and Society. Second edition. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. 252 pp.

Glantz, M.H. (ed.), 2001: Once Burned, Twice Shy? Lessons Learned from the 1997-98 El Niño. Tokyo, Japan: United Nations University Press. 294 pp.

Glantz, M.H. (ed.), 2002: Societal Aspects. Special volume editor of Handbook of Weather, Climate and Water (T. Potter and B. Colman, eds.). New York: John Wiley & Sons (in press).

Glantz, M.H., 2000: Climate-related disaster diplomacy: A U.S.-Cuban case study. Cambridge Review of International Affairs, XIV(1), Autumn-Winter, 233-253.

Glantz, M.H., 2002: The Aral Sea. In: T. Munn (ed.), Responding to Global Environmental Change, Volume 4 of Encylopedia of Global Environmental Change. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons, 534-536.

Glantz, M.H. (ed.), 2002: La Niña and Its Impacts: Facts and Speculation. Tokyo, Japan: United Nations University Press (in press).

Glantz, M.H. and D. Jamieson, 2000: Societal response to Hurricane Mitch and intra- versus intergenerational equity issues: Whose norms should apply? Special issue of Risk Analysis, 20(6), 869-882.

Glantz, M.H., Q. Ye, and *Q. Ge, 2001: China's western region development strategy and the urgent need to address creeping environmental problems. Arid Lands Newsletter, 49. University of Arizona Office of Arid Lands Studies.

Hornberger, G.M., J.D. Aber, J. Bahr, R.C. Bales, K. Bevin, E. Foufoula-Georgiou, G. Katul, *J.L. Kinter III, *R.D. Koster, D.P. Lettenmaier, D. McKnight, K.A. Miller, *K. Mitchell, *J.O. Roads, B.R. Scanlon, and *E. Smith, 2001: A Plan for a New Science Initiative on the Global Water Cycle. Washington, DC: US Global Change Research Program.

Hulme, M., R. Doherty, *T. Ngara, M. New, and D. Lister, 2001: African climate change: 1900-2100. Climate Research, 17, 145-168.

Katz, R.W., 2001: Techniques for estimating uncertainty in climate change scenarios and impact studies. Climate Research (in press).

Katz, R.W., 2002: Sir Gilbert Walker and a connection between El Niño and statistics. Statistical Science (in press).

McKelvey, R. and K.A. Miller, 2002: The Pacific salmon dispute: Rationalizing a dysfunctional joint venture. To appear in Sustaining North American Salmon: Perspectives Across Regions and Disciplines (in press).

Mearns, L.O. and M. Hulme (Coordinating Lead Authors), 2001: Climate scenario development. Chapter 13 in: Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 739-768.

Mearns, L.O., W. Easterling, C. Hays and D. Marx, 2001: Comparison of agricultural impacts of climate change calculated from high and low resolution climate change model scenarios. Part I: The uncertainty due to spatial scale. Climatic Change, 51(2), 131-172.

Miller, K.A., 2001: Climate and water resources in the west: Past and future. Journal of the West, 40(3), 39-47.

Miller K.A., 2000: Pacific salmon fisheries: Climate, information and adaptation in a conflict-ridden context. Climatic Change, 45, 37-61.

Miller K.A., and M.W. Downton, 2002: Transboundary fisheries: Pacific salmon. In: T. Potter and B. Colman (eds.), Handbook of Weather, Climate and Water. New York: John Wiley and Sons (in press).

Miller K.A., G.R. Munro, T.L. McDorman, R. McKelvey and P. Tyedmers, 2001: The 1999 Pacific Salmon Agreement: A sustainable solution? Orono, ME: University of Maine, Canadian-American Public Policy Occasional Paper.

*Nobre, A.D., M. Keller, P.M. Crill, and R.C. Harriss, 2001: Short-term nitrous oxide profile dynamics and emissions response to water, nitrogen, and carbon additions in two tropical soils. Biol. & Fertil. Soils, 34, 363-373.

Pielke, Jr., R.A., and R.A. Pielke, Sr., 2002: Extreme events (Hurricanes). In: T. Potter and B. Colman (eds.), Handbook of Weather, Climate and Water. New York: John Wiley and Sons (in press).

Pielke, Jr., R.A., 2002: Weather extremes and climate impacts: A case study for the United States. In: I. Douglas (ed.), Causes and Consequences of Global Environmental Change, Volume 3 of Encyclopedia of Global Environmental Change. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons, 728-732.

Pielke, Jr., R.A., and R. Carbone, 2001: Weather forecasts, impacts and policy: An integrated perspective. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (in press).

Pielke, Jr., R.A. and M.W. Downton, 2000: Precipitation and damaging floods: Trends in the United States, 1932-1997. Journal of Climate, 13(20), 3625-3637.

Pielke, Jr., R.A., *J. Rubiera, *C. Landsea, *M. Molina, and R. Klein, 2001: Hurricane vulnerability in Latin America and the Caribbean: Global environmental change, Part B. Natural Hazards (in press).

*Reilly, J. et al., 2001: Agriculture: The Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change for the United States. US National Assessment of the Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change. Agriculture Section Assessment Team (L.O. Mearns, member), US Global Change Research Program. New York: Cambridge University Press.

Sanchez-Azofeifa, G.A., R.C. Harriss, and D.L. Skole, 2001: Deforestation in Costa Rica: A quantitative analysis using remote sensing imagery. Biotropica, 33(3), 378-384.

Serafin, R.J., *A.E. MacDonald, and R.L. Gall, 2002: Transition of weather research to operations: Opportunities and challenges. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 83(3), 377-392.

*Sontakke, N.A., D.J. Shea, R.A. Madden, and R.W. Katz, 2001: Potential for long-range regional precipitation prediction over India. Mausam, 52, 47-56.

*Stone, M.C., *R.H. Hotchkiss, *C.M. Hubbard, *T.A. Fontaine, L.O. Mearns, and *J.G. Arnold, 2001: Impacts of climate change on the water yield of the Missouri Basin. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (in press).

Tsvetsinskaya, E., L.O. Mearns, and W. Easterling, 2001: Investigating the effect of seasonal plant growth and development in 3-dimensional atmospheric simulations. Part I: Simulation of surface fluxes over the growing season. Journal of Climate, 14, 692-709.

Tsvetsinskaya, E., L.O. Mearns, and W. Easterling, 2001: Investigating the effect of seasonal plant growth and development in 3-dimensional atmospheric simulations. Part II: Atmospheric response to crop growth and development. Journal of Climate, 14, 711-729.

Wilhelmi, O.V. and D.A. Wilhite, 2002: Assessing vulnerability to agricultural drought: A Nebraska case study. Natural Hazards (in press).

Wilhelmi, O.V., K.G. Hubbard and D.A. Wilhite, 2002: Spatial representation of agroclimatology in an integrated assessment of agricultural drought vulnerability. International Journal of Climatology (accepted for publication).

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Non-Refereed

Adeel, Z., and M.H. Glantz, 2001: A retrospective study of the 1997-98 El Niño: Identifying major challenges and opportunities. Work In Progress (United Nations University), 16(2), 6-9.

Downton, M. and R.A. Pielke, Jr., 2001: Politics and disaster declarations. Natural Hazards Observer, 25(4), 1-3.

Glantz, M.H., 2001: Have we learnt the lessons from the 1997-98 El Niño? (PDF file) Monthly Bulletin, 10(5), National Society of Mining, Petroleum, and Energy, Lima, Peru.

Glantz, M.H., 2000: Down with Earth Day 2001: Up with an Earth Year. Calypso Log, December, 19-21.

Katz, R.W., 2002: Do weather or climate variables and their impacts have heavy-tailed distributions? Preprints, American Meteorological Society, 16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Orlando, FL (in press).

Mearns, L.O., 2001: The issue of spatial scale of climate scenarios in regional climate change impacts analysis: Examples from agriculture. In: *S. Planton, *D. Hanson, *D. Viner and *M. Hoepffner (eds.), Proceedings of the ECLAT-2 Toulouse Workshop, held 25-27 October 2000 at Climatic Research Unit, UEA, Norwich, UK, 38-45.

Miller, K.A., 2001: Book review of “Due to the Weather: Ways the Elements Affect Our Lives,” by A. Resnick. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 82(8), 1759.

Miller, K.A., G. Munro, R. McKelvey, and P. Tyedmers, 2001: Climate, uncertainty and the Pacific Salmon Treaty: Insights on the harvest management game. (PDF file) In: Microbehavior and Macroresults: Proceedings of the Tenth Biennial Conference of the International Institute of Fishery Economics and Trade (IIFET), 10-15 July 2000, Corvallis, OR. Compiled by R.S. Johnston and A.L.Shriver, IIFET, Corvallis, OR.

Pielke, Jr., R.A., and R. Harriss, 2000: Science policy and the NASA Triana Mission. Science, 288, 271.

Pielke, Jr., R.A., 2001: Room for doubt. Nature, 410, 151.

Pielke, Jr., R.A., 2001: Weather Research Needs of the Private Sector Workshop Report, U.S. Weather Research Program, Palm Springs. CA, December 2000.

Pielke, Jr., R.A. and B. Klein, 2001: Extreme Weather Sourcebook 2001 Edition, Environmental and Societal Impacts Group, NCAR, and the American Meteorological Society, January. (This site has moved to the Center for Science and Technology Policy Research, University of Colorado.)

Pielke, Jr., R.A., 2001: The Development of the U.S. Global Change Research Program: 1987 to 1994. A Policy Case Study Prepared for the 2001 American Meteorological Society Policy Symposium, June.

*Stewart, T.R., *R. Nath, and R.A. Pielke, Jr., 2001: Societal Value of Improved Precipitation Forecasts: A Case Study in Surface Transportation. Final report submitted to the Forecast Systems Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

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