Environmental and Societal Impacts Group

FY99 Publications


*denotes a non-NCAR scientist

Refereed

*Barnston, A.G., M.H. Glantz, and *Y. He, 1999: Predictive skill of statistical and dynamical climate models in SST forecasts during the 1997-98 El Nino episode and the 1998 La Nina onset. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 80, 2, 217-242.

Betsill, M.M. and R.A. Pielke, Jr., 1998: Blurring the boundaries: Domestic and international ozone politics and lessons for climate change. International Environmental Affairs, 10, 3, 147-172.

Firor, J., 1999: Response to "Rolling the Climate Dice." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 80, 6, 1149-50.

Giorgi, F., and L.O. Mearns, 1999: Introduction to special section: Regional climate modeling revisited. Journal of Geophysical Research, 104, D6, 6335-6352.

Glantz, M.H. (ed.), 1999: Creeping Environmental Problems and Sustainable Development in the Aral Sea Basin. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. 291 pp.

Glantz, M.H., 1999: Sustainable development and creeping environmental problems in the Aral Sea region. In: M.H. Glantz (ed.), Creeping Environmental Problems and Sustainable Development in the Aral Sea Basin. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1-25.

Glantz, M.H., 1999: El Niño as a hazard-spawner. In: J. Ingleton (ed.), The Nature of Hazards: Commemorative Volume to Celebrate Achievements of International Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction. Leicester, UK: Tudor Rose Publishers, 78-79.

Glantz, M.H, *D.G. Streets, *T.R. Stewart, *N. Bhatti, C.M. Moore, and *C.H. Rosa, 1999: Exploring the Concept of Climate Surprises: A Review of the Literature on the Concept of Surprise and How It Is Related to Climate Change. Second printing redesigned to be distributed at COP4 Conference in Buenos Aires. ESIG/NCAR and Argonne National Labs. 85 pp.

Katz, R.W., 1999: Moments of power transformed time series. Environmetrics, 10, 301-307.

Katz, R.W. and *X. Zheng, 1999: Mixture model for overdispersion of precipitation. Journal of Climate, 12, 2528-2537.

*Kunkel, K.E., R.A. Pielke Jr., and *S.A. Changnon, 1999: Temporal fluctuations in weather and climate extremes that cause economic and human health impacts: A review. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 80, 6, 1077-1098.

Landsea, C.W., R.A. Pielke Jr., A. Mestas-Nunez, and J. Knaff, 1999: Atlantic basin hurricanes: Indices of climate changes. Climatic Change, 42, 89-129.

Madden, R.A., D.J. Shea, R.W. Katz, and J.W. Kidson, 1999: The potential long-range predictability of precipitation over New Zealand. International Journal of Climatology, 19, 405-421.

Mearns, L.O., *I. Bogardi, F. Giorgi, *I. Matyasovszky, and *M. Palecki, 1999: Comparison of climate change scenarios generated from regional climate model experiments and statistical downscaling. Journal of Geophysical Research, 104, D6, 6603-6621.

Mearns, L.O., T. Mavromatis, and E. Tsvetsinskaya, 1999: Comparative responses of EPIC and CERES crop models to high and low spatial resolution climate change scenarios. Journal of Geophysical Research, 104, D6, 6623-6646.

Miller, K.M. (Panel Member), Panel on the Human Dimensions of Seasonal-to-Interannual Climate Variability, 1999: Making Climate Forecasts Matter. P.C. Stern and W. Easterling (eds.). Washington, DC: National Academy Press. 192 pp.

*Pfaff, A., *K. Broad, and M.H. Glantz, 1999: Who benefits from climate forecasts? Nature, 397, 25 February, 645-646.

Pielke, R.A. Jr., 1999: Who decides? Forecasts and responsibilities in the 1997 Red River flood. American Behaviorial Science Review, 7, 2, 83-101.

Pielke, R.A. Jr., 1999: Nine fallacies of floods. Climatic Change, 42, 413-438.

Pielke, R.A. Jr., 1999: Prediction in the earth sciences and environmental policy making. Eos, 80, 28, 311-313.

Pielke, R.A. Jr. and M.W. Downton, 1999: U.S. trends in streamflow and precipitation: Using societal impact data to address an apparent paradox. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 80(7), 1435-1436.

Pielke R.A. Jr., and *C.W. Landsea, 1999: La Niña, El Niño, and Atlantic hurricane damages in the United States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 80, 10, 2027-2033.

*Sarewitz, D., and R.A. Pielke Jr., 1999: Prediction in science and policy. Technology in Society, 21, 121-133.

Tsvetsinskaya, E., L.O. Mearns, and *W.E. Easterling, 1999: Investigating the effect of seasonal plant growth and development in 3-dimensional atmospheric simulations. Proceedings of the Ninth International Offshore and Polar Engineering Conference, Brest, France, 30 May-4 June 1999. San Francisco, CA: The International Society of Offshore and Polar Engineers.

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Non-Refereed

Doherty, R., and L.O. Mearns, 1999: A Comparison of Simulations of Current Climate from Two Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Global Climate Models Against Observations and Evaluation of Their Future Climates. Report to NIGEC. Boulder, CO: ESIG/NCAR.

Glantz, M.H., 1999: The language of global warming. Tiempo, 31, 20-22.

Glantz, M.H., 1999: The dying Aral Sea. Public Affairs Section, Work in Progress: A Review of Research Activities of the United Nations University, 15, 2, 12-17.

Glantz, M.H., 1999: Aral Sea: Going, going... almost gone. Calypso Log, Journal of The Cousteau Society, Paris, France, 20-21.

Glantz, M.H., 1999: What we know and don't know about El Niño: A discussion paper. School of Marine Affairs 25th Anniversary: Proceedings of Public Program. Seattle, WA: School of Marine Affairs, 85-89.

Katz, R.W., 1999: Techniques for estimating uncertainty in climate change scenarios and impact studies. In: T.R. Carter, M. Holme, and D. Viner (eds.), Representing Uncertainty in Climate Change Scenarios and Impact Studies. Proceedings of ECLAT-2 Helsinki Workshop. Climatic Research Unit: Norwich, UK, 38-53.

Katz, R.W., 1999: Review of Computational Statistics in Climatology by I. Polyak. Climatic Change, 41, 127-130.

Magistro, J., 1999: Book review of Famine Crimes: Politics and the Disaster Relief Industry in Africa by A. De Waal. American Anthropologist, 100, 3, 844-845.

Magistro, J., 1998: Book review of Living Under Contract: Contract Farming and Agrarian Transformation in Sub-Saharan Africa by P.D. Little and M.J. Watts (eds.). Journal of Political Ecology, 6.

*McKelvey, R., and K. Miller, 1998: Cooperative management of transboundary shared stocks: Some principles drawn from the theory of games. Abstracts, Ecosystem Considerations in Fisheries Management, Sixteenth Lowell Wakefield Fisheries Symposium. Fairbanks, AK: University of Alaska Sea Grant.

Pielke, R.A. Jr., M. Betsill, M. Downton, J. Firor, *D. Jamieson, R. Katz, M. Lahsen, J. Magistro, L. Mearns and K. Miller, 1999: Book review of Human Choice and Climate Change, S. Rayner and E. Malone, eds. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 80, 7, 1441-1443.

Pielke, R.A. Jr., C. Simonpietri, and J. Oxelson, 1999: Thirty Years After Hurricane Camille: Lessons Learned, Lessons Lost. ESIG/NCAR. Boulder, CO.

Pielke, R.A. Jr., B. Enosh, A. Gutierrez, and *M. Mercer, 1999: Extreme Weather Sourcebook: An Educational Report on Damages in the United States Related to Tornadoes, Floods, and Hurricanes. ESIG/NCAR.

*Sarewitz, D., R.A. Pielke Jr., and *R. Byerly Jr., 1999: Prediction: A process, not a product. Geotimes, 44, 4, 29-31.

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Table of Contents | Enhancing Resilience of Natural Resources | Protection of Life & Property
Fundamental Research | Education & Outreach | FY99 Scientific Highlights
FY99 Publications | FY99 Educational Activities | FY99 Community Service
FY99 Staff, Visitors & Collaborators | Environmental & Societal Impacts Group
ESIG 1999 Annual Scientific Report Home Page | NCAR 1999 Annual Scientific Report Home Page

FY99 Scientific Highlights Education and Outreach Fundamental Research Protection of Life and Property Enhancing Resilience of Natural Resources Table of Contents Environmental and Societal Impacts Group FY99 Staff, Visitors and Collaborators FY99 Community Service FY99 Educational Activities FY99 Publications NCAR Annual Scientific Report NCAR Annual Scientific Report NCAR Annual Scientific Report